Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 19:30
Prediction: Rebecca Marino vs Alina Charaeva
Team pages: Rebecca Marino · Alina Charaeva
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebecca Marino
Alina Charaeva
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Rebecca Marino
6-4 (W-L)
Alina Charaeva
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebecca Marino 1524 · Alina Charaeva 1543
| Rebecca Marino | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Rebecca Marino dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 43.9% break avg.
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Rebecca Marino | Alina Charaeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.9 | 13.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Marino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Kayla Cross W75 Granby |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Kylie Collins W75 Granby |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Granby |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Julieta Pareja W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Luciana Perry W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Audrey Spencer W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kira Matushkina W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/09 | Tatjana Maria WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alina Charaeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 21/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Ayla Aksu WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/06 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Marino vs Alina Charaeva?
Our model gives 60% to Alina Charaeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.