Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 21:00
Prediction: Solana Sierra vs Aoi Ito
Team pages: Solana Sierra · Aoi Ito
Prediction summary
Winner
Solana Sierra
Aoi Ito
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Solana Sierra
3-7 (W-L)
Aoi Ito
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Solana Sierra 1490 · Aoi Ito 1452
| Solana Sierra | Aoi Ito | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Solana Sierra makes many double faults (6.8/match).
- Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Solana Sierra | Aoi Ito | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 57% (7) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13.3 | 10.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6.8 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Solana Sierra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Anna Bondar Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 20/06 | Ella Seidel WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Caty McNally WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lois Boisson WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/05 | Sorana Cirstea French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
Aoi Ito
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Katherine Sebov WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 26/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Astra Sharma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 18/07 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alina Korneeva WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Yasmine Mansouri WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Diane Parry WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Petra Marcinko WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Solana Sierra vs Aoi Ito?
Our model gives 68% to Solana Sierra, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.