Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 16:30
Prediction: Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan
Team pages: Renata Zarazua · Yue Yuan
Prediction summary
Winner
Renata Zarazua
Yue Yuan
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Renata Zarazua
6-4 (W-L)
Yue Yuan
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Renata Zarazua
1–2
Yue Yuan
(3 last)
- 27 Apr2-1 15-10W
- 20 Apr0-2 7-13L
- 23 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renata Zarazua 1540 · Yue Yuan 1433
| Renata Zarazua | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Renata Zarazua (rating 1540 vs 1433).
- Renata Zarazua is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Renata Zarazua 1–2 Yue Yuan (3).
Statistics
| Renata Zarazua | Yue Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.9 | 11.1-14.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 6.6 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 62% | 61.8% |
| Break % | 49.3% | 32.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Renata Zarazua 1 – 2 Yue Yuan (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Renata Zarazua 1–2 Yue Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/23 ITF W60 Charlottesville | 2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 20/04/23 ITF W100 Charleston | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09/22 ITF W60 Berkeley | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renata Zarazua
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 01/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/07 | McCartney Kessler WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Sloane Stephens W100 Evansville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Yue Yuan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Alana Smith WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Aliona Falei WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Jeline Vandromme Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 18/05 | Harriet Dart French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 12/05 | Mayar Sherif WTA Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Simona Waltert WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renata Zarazua vs Yue Yuan?
Our model gives 59% to Renata Zarazua, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.