Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 16:30
Prediction: Robin Montgomery vs Julia Grabher
Team pages: Robin Montgomery · Julia Grabher
Prediction summary
Winner
Robin Montgomery
Julia Grabher
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Montgomery
7-3 (W-L)
Julia Grabher
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Montgomery 1611 · Julia Grabher 1561
| Robin Montgomery | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robin Montgomery (rating 1611 vs 1561).
- Robin Montgomery dominates on serve: 8 aces and 61.8% break avg.
- Note: Julia Grabher makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Robin Montgomery | Julia Grabher | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 90% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-9.3 | 11.3-8 |
| Aces | 8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Montgomery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Marina Bassols Ribera Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Elvina Kalieva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Caroline Dolehide Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Daria Snigur WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Greet Minnen WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 07/06 | Joanna Garland WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/06 | Yue Yuan WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Julia Grabher
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Anna Siskova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Vivian Wolff W100 Amstetten |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Iva Primorac Pavicic W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Ekaterina Perelygina W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Ekaterina Perelygina WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Montgomery vs Julia Grabher?
Our model gives 64% to Robin Montgomery, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.