Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 16:30
Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Lin Zhu
Team pages: Lilli Tagger · Lin Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Lin Zhu
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
6-4 (W-L)
Lin Zhu
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1594 · Lin Zhu 1522
| Lilli Tagger | Lin Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lilli Tagger (rating 1594 vs 1522).
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Lin Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.8 | 11.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 65% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Sara Bejlek WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Marianne Argyrokastriti WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Madison Sieg WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Lin Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Teodora Kostovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Mona Barthel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Katerina Siniakova WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Sinja Kraus WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/06 | Katie Volynets WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 06/06 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/04 | Valentina Ryser W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/04 | Eri Shimizu W100 Gifu · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Lin Zhu?
Our model gives 61% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.