Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 21:00
Prediction: Eva Lys vs Katarzyna Kawa
Team pages: Eva Lys · Katarzyna Kawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Lys
Katarzyna Kawa
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Lys
3-7 (W-L)
Katarzyna Kawa
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Lys 1457 · Katarzyna Kawa 1501
| Eva Lys | Katarzyna Kawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Katarzyna Kawa (rating 1457 vs 1501).
- Note: Eva Lys makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Katarzyna Kawa makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Eva Lys | Katarzyna Kawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.9 | 11.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.9% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Lys
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Diana Shnaider Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Elina Svitolina WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Sorana Cirstea French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Petra Marcinko French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/05 | Talia Gibson WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 08/05 | Naomi Osaka WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Katie Boulter WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Shuai Zhang WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Katarzyna Kawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Justina Mikulskyte WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Paula Badosa WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Kayla Day Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Lucrezia Stefanini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Susan Bandecchi Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Modena · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Lys vs Katarzyna Kawa?
Our model gives 55% to Eva Lys, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.