Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 17:40
Prediction: Himeno Sakatsume vs Leolia Jeanjean
Team pages: Himeno Sakatsume · Leolia Jeanjean
Prediction summary
Winner
Himeno Sakatsume
Leolia Jeanjean
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Himeno Sakatsume
4-6 (W-L)
Leolia Jeanjean
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Himeno Sakatsume
1–0
Leolia Jeanjean
(1 last)
- 06 Mar2-1 18-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Himeno Sakatsume 1484 · Leolia Jeanjean 1540
| Himeno Sakatsume | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leolia Jeanjean (rating 1484 vs 1540).
- Leolia Jeanjean is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Himeno Sakatsume 1–0 Leolia Jeanjean (1).
- Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Himeno Sakatsume | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12 | 12.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
H2H · Himeno Sakatsume 1 – 0 Leolia Jeanjean (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Himeno Sakatsume 1–0 Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/24 W75 Trnava | 2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Himeno Sakatsume
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Hong Yi Cody Wong WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Fiona Crawley W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/06 | Mika Stojsavljevic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Leolia Jeanjean
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Magdalena Frech WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Lin Zhu WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Erjavec Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Himeno Sakatsume vs Leolia Jeanjean?
Our model gives 63% to Leolia Jeanjean, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.