Tennis · WTA Cincinnati · 11/08, 17:40
Prediction: Polina Iatcenko vs Claire Liu
Team pages: Polina Iatcenko · Claire Liu
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Iatcenko
Claire Liu
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Iatcenko
6-4 (W-L)
Claire Liu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Iatcenko 1521 · Claire Liu 1545
| Polina Iatcenko | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Polina Iatcenko | Claire Liu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.1 | 11.7-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Iryna Shymanovich W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Julieta Pareja WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Zhuoxuan Bai Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Sara Milanese W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Claire Liu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Ipek Oz WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Maria Sara Popa WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Coco Gauff Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Elena Pridankina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Kaitlin Quevedo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Despina Papamichail Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Iatcenko vs Claire Liu?
Our model gives 60% to Claire Liu, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.