Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 12/08, 11:00
Prediction: Niels McDonald vs Eduardo Ribeiro
Team pages: Niels McDonald · Eduardo Ribeiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Niels McDonald
Eduardo Ribeiro
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Niels McDonald
3-7 (W-L)
Eduardo Ribeiro
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels McDonald 1493 · Eduardo Ribeiro 1492
| Niels McDonald | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Niels McDonald makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Niels McDonald | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-10.9 | 9.9-10.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels McDonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Eduardo Ribeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels McDonald vs Eduardo Ribeiro?
Our model gives 54% to Niels McDonald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.