Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 12/08, 11:00
Prediction: Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Raul Brancaccio · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Raul Brancaccio
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Raul Brancaccio
4-6 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Raul Brancaccio
0–1
Marvin Moeller
(1 last)
- 21 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raul Brancaccio 1483 · Marvin Moeller 1598
| Raul Brancaccio | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1483 vs 1598).
- Marvin Moeller is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Raul Brancaccio 0–1 Marvin Moeller (1).
Statistics
| Raul Brancaccio | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.6 | 12.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 33.7% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Raul Brancaccio 0 – 1 Marvin Moeller (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Raul Brancaccio 0–1 Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/23 Challenger Bad Waltersdorf | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raul Brancaccio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Harold Mayot Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 06/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Arthur Gea Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Tom Zeuch M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raul Brancaccio vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 55% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.