Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 11/08, 10:30
Prediction: Goncalo Marques vs Sergio Callejon Hernando
Team pages: Goncalo Marques · Sergio Callejon Hernando
Prediction summary
Winner
Goncalo Marques
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Goncalo Marques
7-3 (W-L)
Sergio Callejon Hernando
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Goncalo Marques 1541 · Sergio Callejon Hernando 1502
| Goncalo Marques | Sergio Callejon Hernando | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Goncalo Marques | Sergio Callejon Hernando | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.3 | 10.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.3% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 29.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goncalo Marques
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Joao Domingues M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Emile Hudd M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Porto |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 04/08 | Jaume Casas Blasi M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Nicolas Tepmahc Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/07 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Luc Fomba M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Liam Branger M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Vladislav Melnic M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goncalo Marques vs Sergio Callejon Hernando?
Our model gives 60% to Sergio Callejon Hernando, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.