Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 20/08, 14:00
Prediction: Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
Team pages: Alberto Barroso Campos · Pavlos Tsitsipas
Prediction summary
Winner
Alberto Barroso Campos
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alberto Barroso Campos
4-6 (W-L)
Pavlos Tsitsipas
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alberto Barroso Campos
2–0
Pavlos Tsitsipas
(2 last)
- 25 Nov2-0 12-4W
- 19 Feb2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alberto Barroso Campos 1480 · Pavlos Tsitsipas 1539
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavlos Tsitsipas (rating 1480 vs 1539).
- Pavlos Tsitsipas dominates on serve: 6 aces and 47.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alberto Barroso Campos 2–0 Pavlos Tsitsipas (2).
- Note: Pavlos Tsitsipas makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Alberto Barroso Campos | Pavlos Tsitsipas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.5 | 12.8-12 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 61.9% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Alberto Barroso Campos 2 – 0 Pavlos Tsitsipas (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alberto Barroso Campos 2–0 Pavlos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/11/25 Challenger Athens | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/02/25 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alberto Barroso Campos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Alexander Bravo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 12/08 | Salvador Monteiro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lui Maxted M25 Porto |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Diogo Morais M25 Porto |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 18/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Pavlos Tsitsipas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Dino Molokova Ferreira M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Arda Azkara M15 Turku |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Noah Lopez Cherubino M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 04/08 | Dominik Palan M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Roan Jones M15 Dublin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | James McGloughlin M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Rodrigo Leal M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Vasco L Prata M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alberto Barroso Campos vs Pavlos Tsitsipas?
Our model gives 58% to Alberto Barroso Campos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.