Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 20/08, 11:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Tiago Silva
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Tiago Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Tiago Silva
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
9-1 (W-L)
Tiago Silva
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1630 · Tiago Silva 1493
| Pavel Lagutin | Tiago Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pavel Lagutin (rating 1630 vs 1493).
- Pavel Lagutin is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Tiago Silva makes many double faults (6.6/match).
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Tiago Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-6.6 | 11.2-11.5 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 6.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 51.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Philip Henning M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 12/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Brian Bozemoj M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Tiago Silva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Rocco Piatti M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Jeffrey Fradkin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Miguel Semedo M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Diego Fernandez Flores M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/06 | Luke Hooper M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/02 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Tiago Silva?
Our model gives 79% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.