Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 20/08, 14:00
Prediction: Goncalo Marques vs Fabrizio Andaloro
Team pages: Goncalo Marques · Fabrizio Andaloro
Prediction summary
Winner
Goncalo Marques
Fabrizio Andaloro
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Goncalo Marques
7-3 (W-L)
Fabrizio Andaloro
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Goncalo Marques 1550 · Fabrizio Andaloro 1522
| Goncalo Marques | Fabrizio Andaloro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Fabrizio Andaloro makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Goncalo Marques | Fabrizio Andaloro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.5 | 12.2-12 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Goncalo Marques
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 11/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/08 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tiago Cacao M15 Castelo Branco |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Iker Urribarrens M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Fabrizio Andaloro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Joao Domingues M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Mert Alkaya M25 Porto |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Matisse Bobichon M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Goncalo Marques vs Fabrizio Andaloro?
Our model gives 52% to Fabrizio Andaloro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.