Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 20/08, 11:00
Prediction: Abdulhamid Mubarak vs Mathieu Scaglia
Team pages: Mathieu Scaglia
Prediction summary
Winner
Abdulhamid Mubarak
Mathieu Scaglia
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Abdulhamid Mubarak
5-5 (W-L)
Mathieu Scaglia
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Abdulhamid Mubarak 1489 · Mathieu Scaglia 1501
| Abdulhamid Mubarak | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathieu Scaglia makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Abdulhamid Mubarak | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10.5 | 12.1-11.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 25.9% | 41.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Abdulhamid Mubarak
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Tiago Boschmans M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/08 | Jorge Lopez Dominguez M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Kirill Kistanov Davis Cup |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 23/07 | Akam Bakr Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/07 | Resul Atayev Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Brendan McDonald M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 30/06 | Federico Valle M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Nicolas Kobelt M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Noah Lopez M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/01 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Zahra · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Mathieu Scaglia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Pablo Perez Navarro M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Ander Tarrio Ponte M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/07 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Rognac |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 22/07 | Nicholas Godsick M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Abdulhamid Mubarak vs Mathieu Scaglia?
Our model gives 66% to Mathieu Scaglia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.