Tennis · M25 Idanha-A-Nova · 21/08, 10:00
Prediction: Philip Henning vs Rodrigo Fernandes
Team pages: Philip Henning · Rodrigo Fernandes
Prediction summary
Winner
Philip Henning
Rodrigo Fernandes
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Henning
8-2 (W-L)
Rodrigo Fernandes
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Philip Henning 1584 · Rodrigo Fernandes 1527
| Philip Henning | Rodrigo Fernandes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Philip Henning (rating 1584 vs 1527).
- Note: Rodrigo Fernandes makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Philip Henning | Rodrigo Fernandes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-7.9 | 11-11.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.1% | 72.5% |
| Break % | 45.5% | 40.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Philip Henning
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Diogo Coelho M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/08 | Dan Added M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/08 | Tiago Cacao M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Rodrigo Fernandes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Tomas Quesada Perez M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 12/08 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Patrick Schoen M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Pablo Aunion M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Francisco Faria M25 Porto |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Philip Henning vs Rodrigo Fernandes?
Our model gives 74% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.