Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Denis Yevseyev vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Denis Yevseyev · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Yevseyev
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Yevseyev
5-5 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Yevseyev 1501 · Matej Dodig 1558
| Denis Yevseyev | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1501 vs 1558).
- Matej Dodig dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Matej Dodig is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Denis Yevseyev | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12.7 | 13.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 75.4% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Yevseyev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Noel Larwig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Leonardo Borrelli Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 11/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Yevseyev vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 71% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.