Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Saba Purtseladze
Team pages: Saba Purtseladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
Saba Purtseladze
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
7-3 (W-L)
Saba Purtseladze
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski 1571 · Saba Purtseladze 1494
| Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski (rating 1571 vs 1494).
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 60% break avg.
- Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.3 | 12.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 6 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Hynek Barton Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 09/08 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Patrik Munkhammar M25 Gentofte |
1-1 | 10-5 | W |
| 05/07 | David Tixhon Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Dominik Recek M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/05 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Saba Purtseladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Richard Antoni Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Edouard Villoslada Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Mueller M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Saba Purtseladze?
Our model gives 58% to Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.