Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 11/08, 10:00
Prediction: Ergi Kirkin vs Andrej Nedic
Team pages: Ergi Kirkin · Andrej Nedic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ergi Kirkin
Andrej Nedic
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Ergi Kirkin
5-5 (W-L)
Andrej Nedic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ergi Kirkin 1518 · Andrej Nedic 1465
| Ergi Kirkin | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ergi Kirkin (rating 1518 vs 1465).
Statistics
| Ergi Kirkin | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11 | 9.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 46% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | William Mirarchi M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Valentin Vanta M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Andrej Nedic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Harold Mayot Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ergi Kirkin vs Andrej Nedic?
Our model gives 63% to Andrej Nedic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.