Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 10/08, 12:00
Prediction: Denis Yevseyev vs Saba Purtseladze
Team pages: Denis Yevseyev · Saba Purtseladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Denis Yevseyev
Saba Purtseladze
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Denis Yevseyev
4-6 (W-L)
Saba Purtseladze
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Denis Yevseyev 1487 · Saba Purtseladze 1526
| Denis Yevseyev | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 11.3 aces and 57.5% break avg.
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Denis Yevseyev | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.2 | 12.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 11.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58% | 74.3% |
| Break % | 52% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Denis Yevseyev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Noel Larwig Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/08 | Yanki Erel Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Vadym Ursu Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Tuncay Duran Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 19/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Leonardo Borrelli Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Andrey Chepelev Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Kenny de Schepper Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Saba Purtseladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Richard Antoni Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Edouard Villoslada Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Mueller M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Denis Yevseyev vs Saba Purtseladze?
Our model gives 52% to Denis Yevseyev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.