Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 10/08, 10:00
Prediction: Federico Zeballos vs Ergi Kirkin
Team pages: Federico Zeballos · Ergi Kirkin
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Zeballos
Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Zeballos
1-9 (W-L)
Ergi Kirkin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Zeballos 1453 · Ergi Kirkin 1505
| Federico Zeballos | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ergi Kirkin (rating 1453 vs 1505).
Statistics
| Federico Zeballos | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-11.9 | 11.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 6.5% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Zeballos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Andres Urrea Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/03 | Maxwell McKennon Challenger San Luis Potosi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Morelia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/03 | Cannon Kingsley Challenger Santiago · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/01 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Itajai · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ergi Kirkin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Paul Inchauspe Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | William Mirarchi M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Valentin Vanta M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Billy Blaydes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 12-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Zeballos vs Ergi Kirkin?
Our model gives 69% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.