Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 11/08, 11:00
Prediction: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Max Alcala Gurri
Team pages: Eduardo Ribeiro · Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Eduardo Ribeiro
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Eduardo Ribeiro
5-5 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eduardo Ribeiro 1481 · Max Alcala Gurri 1552
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Alcala Gurri (rating 1481 vs 1552).
Statistics
| Eduardo Ribeiro | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.1 | 11.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eduardo Ribeiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Max Alcala Gurri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Pellegrino Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Brasov · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eduardo Ribeiro vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 70% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.