Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 11/08, 11:00
Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Niels McDonald
Team pages: Mika Petkovic · Niels McDonald
Prediction summary
Winner
Mika Petkovic
Niels McDonald
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Petkovic
6-4 (W-L)
Niels McDonald
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1503 · Niels McDonald 1484
| Mika Petkovic | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Niels McDonald makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mika Petkovic | Niels McDonald | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.3 | 9.7-11 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mika Petkovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Nikolai Barsukov Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Adrian Oetzbach Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Felix Alopaeus Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Sander Jong Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Manvydas Balciunas Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Niels McDonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Niels McDonald?
Our model gives 54% to Niels McDonald, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.