Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 11/08, 11:00
Prediction: Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Cezar Cretu · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Cezar Cretu
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Cezar Cretu
5-5 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Cezar Cretu
1–0
Marvin Moeller
(1 last)
- 05 Aug2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cezar Cretu 1472 · Marvin Moeller 1582
| Cezar Cretu | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1472 vs 1582).
- Marvin Moeller is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Cezar Cretu 1–0 Marvin Moeller (1).
Statistics
| Cezar Cretu | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.5 | 12.4-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 34.6% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Cezar Cretu 1 – 0 Marvin Moeller (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cezar Cretu 1–0 Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/24 Challenger Cordenons | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cezar Cretu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 07/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Akira Santillan Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Jacopo Vasami Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Marvin Moeller
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Tom Zeuch M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 25/06 | David Tixhon M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cezar Cretu vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 53% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.