Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 11/08, 11:00
Prediction: Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal
Team pages: Max Houkes · Sumit Nagal
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Houkes
Sumit Nagal
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes
6-4 (W-L)
Sumit Nagal
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Max Houkes
0–2
Sumit Nagal
(2 last)
- 24 Jul0-2 6-12L
- 28 Apr0-2 5-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1506 · Sumit Nagal 1562
| Max Houkes | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sumit Nagal (rating 1506 vs 1562).
- Head-to-head: Max Houkes 0–2 Sumit Nagal (2).
Statistics
| Max Houkes | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.8 | 11-9.3 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 30.5% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Max Houkes 0 – 2 Sumit Nagal (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Max Houkes 0–2 Sumit Nagal
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/25 Challenger Tampere | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/04/23 Challenger Rome | 0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Houkes
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Imanol Lopez Morillo M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Stefan Popovic M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Laslo Djere Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Sumit Nagal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Matej Dodig Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Sumit Nagal?
Our model gives 56% to Sumit Nagal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.