Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 11/08, 11:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Florian Broska
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Florian Broska
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Florian Broska
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
7-3 (W-L)
Florian Broska
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1606 · Florian Broska 1583
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Florian Broska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-9.9 | 13.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 73% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Dmitry Popko Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 04/07 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Florian Broska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Reda Bennani M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Matthieu Chambonniere M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Florian Broska?
Our model gives 60% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.