Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 09/08, 10:30
Prediction: Jan Kumstat vs Alan Wazny
Team pages: Jan Kumstat · Alan Wazny
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan Kumstat
Alan Wazny
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jan Kumstat
8-2 (W-L)
Alan Wazny
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan Kumstat 1609 · Alan Wazny 1518
| Jan Kumstat | Alan Wazny | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jan Kumstat (rating 1609 vs 1518).
- Jan Kumstat dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 42.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Jan Kumstat | Alan Wazny | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-8.9 | 12.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 80.9% | 67% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan Kumstat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/07 | Mathys Erhard M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Yuichiro Inui M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Thijs Boogaard Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Alan Wazny
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Tiago Pereira M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Noel Larwig M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Andrea Brignacca M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 28/06 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 26/06 | Karol Filar M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Oliwier Sterniczuk M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonathan Mridha M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Martin Krumich Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan Kumstat vs Alan Wazny?
Our model gives 75% to Jan Kumstat, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.