Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 09/08, 13:30
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Jannik Opitz
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Jannik Opitz
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Jannik Opitz
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
6-4 (W-L)
Jannik Opitz
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1563 · Jannik Opitz 1491
| Ryan Nijboer | Jannik Opitz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Nijboer (rating 1563 vs 1491).
- Note: Jannik Opitz makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Jannik Opitz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.8 | 11.1-11.1 |
| Aces | 2 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 71% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 30.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Niels Visker Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Mika Brunold Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 13/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Maxence Bertimon Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Jonas Forejtek M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Jannik Opitz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Raphael Perot Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Nico Hipfl M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Robert Strombachs M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Niels Ratiu M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Jonathan Mridha M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Jannik Opitz?
Our model gives 67% to Ryan Nijboer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.