Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 09/08, 15:00
Prediction: Richard Antoni vs Saba Purtseladze
Team pages: Richard Antoni · Saba Purtseladze
Prediction summary
Winner
Richard Antoni
Saba Purtseladze
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Richard Antoni
4-6 (W-L)
Saba Purtseladze
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Richard Antoni 1453 · Saba Purtseladze 1501
| Richard Antoni | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Saba Purtseladze (rating 1453 vs 1501).
- Saba Purtseladze dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 58.4% break avg.
- Note: Richard Antoni makes many double faults (5.5/match).
- Note: Saba Purtseladze makes many double faults (8.2/match).
Statistics
| Richard Antoni | Saba Purtseladze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-10 | 13.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 9.8 |
| Double faults | 5.5 | 8.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.3% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 31.4% | 58.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Richard Antoni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | David Fix M25 Wetzlar |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 21/07 | Pieter De Lange M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Ruben Hartig M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Sebastian Heinrich M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Felix Einig M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Heorhii Shylov M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Matteo Covato M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Ammar Elamin M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/05 | Ondrej Horak M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Saba Purtseladze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Toufik Sahtali Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/07 | Shunsuke Nakagawa Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Edouard Villoslada Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Calvin Mueller M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Richard Antoni vs Saba Purtseladze?
Our model gives 70% to Saba Purtseladze, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.