Tennis · Challenger Hamburg · 09/08, 13:30
Prediction: Niklas Guttau vs Nikolai Barsukov
Team pages: Niklas Guttau · Nikolai Barsukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Niklas Guttau
Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Niklas Guttau
7-3 (W-L)
Nikolai Barsukov
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niklas Guttau 1537 · Nikolai Barsukov 1499
| Niklas Guttau | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Niklas Guttau | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-7.8 | 10.4-12.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 61% |
| Break % | 60.3% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niklas Guttau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Vladyslav Orlov M15 Bielsko Biala |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/07 | Tom Zeuch M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Oriol Roca Batalla M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Giammarco Gandolfi M25 Koszalin |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Lasse Poertner M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 15/07 | Aryan Shah M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Michael Savano M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/07 | Filip Krolo M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Ivan Gakhov M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Edison Ambarzumjan M25 Wetzlar |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 17/07 | Tomasz Berkieta M15 Uslar |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matteo Fondriest M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niklas Guttau vs Nikolai Barsukov?
Our model gives 50% to Niklas Guttau, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.