Tennis · M15 Astana · 28/07, 07:00
Prediction: Muzammil Murtaza vs Sergey Petrov
Team pages: Muzammil Murtaza
Prediction summary
Winner
Muzammil Murtaza
Sergey Petrov
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Muzammil Murtaza
5-5 (W-L)
Sergey Petrov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Muzammil Murtaza 1456 · Sergey Petrov 1516
| Muzammil Murtaza | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sergey Petrov (rating 1456 vs 1516).
- Sergey Petrov dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 40.7% break avg.
- Note: Muzammil Murtaza makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Sergey Petrov makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Muzammil Murtaza | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (8) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.3 | 9.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 76.2% |
| Break % | 38% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Muzammil Murtaza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Alexander Ushakov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 9-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Mert Naci Turker M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Loan Lestir M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Aditya Kothari M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Rafael De Alba M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/05 | Artem Bukin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/04 | Matas Vasiliauskas M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Fujairah · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/02 | Nicolas Jadoun Davis Cup |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/11 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Islamabad · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Sergey Petrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Erasyl Bakhtiyar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Tim Vaisman M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/04 | Hugo Soares M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 20/04 | Andre Meinertz M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Viktor Frydrych M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/04 | Sergey Fomin M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/03 | Chen Dong M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Muzammil Murtaza vs Sergey Petrov?
Our model gives 66% to Sergey Petrov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.