Tennis · M15 Astana · 05/08, 07:00
Prediction: Kasidit Samrej vs Egor Pleshivtsev
Team pages: Kasidit Samrej · Egor Pleshivtsev
Prediction summary
Winner
Kasidit Samrej
Egor Pleshivtsev
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Kasidit Samrej
5-5 (W-L)
Egor Pleshivtsev
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kasidit Samrej 1526 · Egor Pleshivtsev 1465
| Kasidit Samrej | Egor Pleshivtsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kasidit Samrej (rating 1526 vs 1465).
- Note: Kasidit Samrej makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kasidit Samrej | Egor Pleshivtsev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.3 | 10.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 32.1% | 38.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kasidit Samrej
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Astana |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Riku Takahata M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sanhui Shin M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Shintaro Imai M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Alberto Lim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-10 | L |
| 11/06 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Lingxi Zhao M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Egor Pleshivtsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Amir Omarkhanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 15/07 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Jan Wygona M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/05 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | James McCabe M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kasidit Samrej vs Egor Pleshivtsev?
Our model gives 65% to Kasidit Samrej, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.