Tennis · M15 Astana · 05/08, 07:00
Prediction: Martin Borisiouk vs Egor Agafonov
Team pages: Martin Borisiouk
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Borisiouk
Egor Agafonov
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Borisiouk
7-3 (W-L)
Egor Agafonov
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Martin Borisiouk
1–0
Egor Agafonov
(1 last)
- 19 Apr2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Borisiouk 1591 · Egor Agafonov 1448
| Martin Borisiouk | Egor Agafonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Martin Borisiouk (rating 1591 vs 1448).
- Martin Borisiouk dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 51% break avg.
- Martin Borisiouk is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Martin Borisiouk 1–0 Egor Agafonov (1).
- Note: Egor Agafonov makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Martin Borisiouk | Egor Agafonov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.4 | 11-11.4 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 82% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 51% | 31.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Martin Borisiouk 1 – 0 Egor Agafonov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Martin Borisiouk 1–0 Egor Agafonov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/22 ITF M15 Shymkent | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Borisiouk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Arseniy Trebukhin M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Amirkhamza Nasridinov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Yua Taka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/11 | Gavin Young ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Egor Agafonov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06 | Kacper Knitter M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Ivan Iutkin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Dmitrii Burtsev M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/03 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 17/03 | Karlis Ozolins M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/03 | Maxim Zhukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 23/02 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Pune · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/02 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Pune · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/02 | Grigoriy Lomakin Challenger New Delhi · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Borisiouk vs Egor Agafonov?
Our model gives 69% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.