Tennis · M15 Astana · 05/08, 08:00
Prediction: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Sergey Petrov
Team pages: Taiyo Yamanaka · Sergey Petrov
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Yamanaka
Sergey Petrov
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Yamanaka
6-4 (W-L)
Sergey Petrov
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Yamanaka 1499 · Sergey Petrov 1535
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sergey Petrov makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Sergey Petrov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.6 | 10.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 78.1% |
| Break % | 34.7% | 38.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Yamanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 18/05 | Ronit Karki Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Sergey Petrov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Astana |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Sora Fukuda M15 Astana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Saki Tange M15 Astana |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Muzammil Murtaza M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Erasyl Bakhtiyar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/04 | Tim Vaisman M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 21/04 | Hugo Soares M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 20/04 | Andre Meinertz M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/04 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/04 | Viktor Frydrych M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Yamanaka vs Sergey Petrov?
Our model gives 53% to Taiyo Yamanaka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.