Tennis · M15 Astana · 07/08, 07:00
Prediction: Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui
Team pages: Taiyo Yamanaka · Shunsuke Mitsui
Prediction summary
Winner
Taiyo Yamanaka
Shunsuke Mitsui
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Taiyo Yamanaka
5-5 (W-L)
Shunsuke Mitsui
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taiyo Yamanaka 1490 · Shunsuke Mitsui 1513
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Shunsuke Mitsui | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.3 | 13.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taiyo Yamanaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Sergey Petrov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ren Nakamura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Moerani Bouzige M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Chase Ferguson M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Yu Tanaka M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Danial Rakhmatullayev M15 Astana |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Ansar Niyetkaliyev M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/03 | Hunter Heck M15 Nishi-Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/02 | Colin Sinclair Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/02 | Brandon Walkin Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/01 | Alexander Kotzen M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 11/01 | Keegan Smith M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 10/01 | Jack Kennedy M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taiyo Yamanaka vs Shunsuke Mitsui?
Our model gives 68% to Shunsuke Mitsui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.