Tennis · M15 Astana · 28/07, 07:00
Prediction: Mikhail Khodorchenko vs Aleksandre Shvangiradze
Team pages: Mikhail Khodorchenko · Aleksandre Shvangiradze
Prediction summary
Winner
Mikhail Khodorchenko
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mikhail Khodorchenko
3-7 (W-L)
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mikhail Khodorchenko 1502 · Aleksandre Shvangiradze 1402
| Mikhail Khodorchenko | Aleksandre Shvangiradze | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mikhail Khodorchenko (rating 1502 vs 1402).
- Mikhail Khodorchenko is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Aleksandre Shvangiradze makes many double faults (7.6/match).
Statistics
| Mikhail Khodorchenko | Aleksandre Shvangiradze | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 11% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10 | 7.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 7.6 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mikhail Khodorchenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Alan Aiukhanov M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 27/05 | Alan Bojarski M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 25/05 | Davit Zogranian M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Hitesh Chauhan M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Omar Morsy M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/05 | Nico Hipfl M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Semen Pankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Dmitrii Burtsev M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Shokrukh Toshpulatov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Sandesh Dattatray Kurale UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
| 24/07 | Ronin Lotlikar UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Aradhya Kshitij UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Kaushik Arunkumar UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Dev Javia UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Bora Sengul M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Alexander Ushakov M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mikhail Khodorchenko vs Aleksandre Shvangiradze?
Our model gives 64% to Mikhail Khodorchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.