Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 27/07, 09:00
Prediction: Charlotte Van Zonneveld vs Carolina Gasparini
Prediction summary
Winner
Charlotte Van Zonneveld
Carolina Gasparini
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Charlotte Van Zonneveld
5-5 (W-L)
Carolina Gasparini
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charlotte Van Zonneveld 1503 · Carolina Gasparini 1440
| Charlotte Van Zonneveld | Carolina Gasparini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlotte Van Zonneveld (rating 1503 vs 1440).
- Note: Charlotte Van Zonneveld makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Charlotte Van Zonneveld | Carolina Gasparini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.8 | 6.8-9.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 53.6% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charlotte Van Zonneveld
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Irina Balus W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Anna Ozerova W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/02 | Julia Stusek W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Michelle Khomich W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/02 | Astrid Cirotte W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/02 | Polina Skliar W15 Leimen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Jasmijn Gimbrere UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/01 | Anastasia Kulikova UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/01 | Annika Barth UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Carolina Gasparini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/12 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 23/12 | Selya Rakki W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/12 | Victoria Pohle W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/11 | Fiona Ganz ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Denise Valente ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Angelica Sara ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Anne Schaefer ITF W15 Viserba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 07/09 | Manuela De Lorenzo ITF W15 Viserba · Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Iulia Maria Buculei W15 Cluj Napoca |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charlotte Van Zonneveld vs Carolina Gasparini?
Our model gives 63% to Charlotte Van Zonneveld, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.