Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Helena Stevic
Team pages: Rebecca Munk Mortensen · Helena Stevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Helena Stevic
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
6-4 (W-L)
Helena Stevic
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
1–0
Helena Stevic
(1 last)
- 25 Jul2-0 12-3W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1551 · Helena Stevic 1440
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | Helena Stevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebecca Munk Mortensen (rating 1551 vs 1440).
- Rebecca Munk Mortensen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1–0 Helena Stevic (1).
Statistics
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | Helena Stevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-7.8 | 8.9-10.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1 – 0 Helena Stevic (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1–0 Helena Stevic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/25 W15 Kursumlijska Banja | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Vittoria Paganetti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Aurora Corvi W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Hana Djedovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 24/07 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Marie Vogt W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Tamila Gadamauri W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
Helena Stevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Natalija Senic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Lejla Hana Golubovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Jana Bojovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-9 | L |
| 15/07 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Mariya Yemshanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Helena Stevic?
Our model gives 78% to Rebecca Munk Mortensen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.