Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 05/08, 10:00
Prediction: Aya El Aouni vs Darya Velikova
Team pages: Aya El Aouni · Darya Velikova
Prediction summary
Winner
Aya El Aouni
Darya Velikova
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Aya El Aouni
7-3 (W-L)
Darya Velikova
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aya El Aouni
1–0
Darya Velikova
(1 last)
- 27 Jul2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aya El Aouni 1537 · Darya Velikova 1467
| Aya El Aouni | Darya Velikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aya El Aouni (rating 1537 vs 1467).
- Aya El Aouni is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Aya El Aouni 1–0 Darya Velikova (1).
- Note: Darya Velikova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Aya El Aouni | Darya Velikova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-7.3 | 7.6-10 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 48.5% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 55.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
H2H · Aya El Aouni 1 – 0 Darya Velikova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aya El Aouni 1–0 Darya Velikova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 W15 Kursumlijska Banja | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aya El Aouni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Darya Velikova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Imogen Haddad W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Darya Velikova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Lucia Llinares Domingo W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Margaux Maquet W50 Horb |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Samantha Imbo Nloga W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Julia Stamatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yoana Konstantinova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Viktoria Veleva W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 14/06 | Mariq-Magdalena Ynakiewa W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Iva Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aya El Aouni vs Darya Velikova?
Our model gives 76% to Aya El Aouni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.