Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 04/08, 10:30
Prediction: Ekaterina Agureeva vs Marianne Argyrokastriti
Team pages: Marianne Argyrokastriti
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Agureeva
Marianne Argyrokastriti
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Agureeva
3-7 (W-L)
Marianne Argyrokastriti
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Agureeva 1465 · Marianne Argyrokastriti 1546
| Ekaterina Agureeva | Marianne Argyrokastriti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marianne Argyrokastriti (rating 1465 vs 1546).
- Marianne Argyrokastriti is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Agureeva makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Marianne Argyrokastriti makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Agureeva | Marianne Argyrokastriti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-11.7 | 9.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 49% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Agureeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/05 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Aleksandra Khomitskaya W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Ginevra Montebruno W15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 03/05 | Julia Khramtsova W50 Lopota · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Aliesia Reva W75 Lopota · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 03/09 | Aran Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Telavi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Kristina Kroitor ITF W15 Telavi · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Mia Ristic ITF W35 Kursumlijska Banja · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Marianne Argyrokastriti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Arina Bulatova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Alessia Antici W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Federica Sacco W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Lucie Urbanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Felitsata Dorofeeva-Rybas W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Agureeva vs Marianne Argyrokastriti?
Our model gives 75% to Marianne Argyrokastriti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.