Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 04/08, 12:00
Prediction: Anastasia Bertacchi vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Team pages: Anastasia Bertacchi · Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Anastasia Bertacchi
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Anastasia Bertacchi
5-5 (W-L)
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anastasia Bertacchi 1494 · Ustiniya Lekomtseva 1472
| Anastasia Bertacchi | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Ustiniya Lekomtseva makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Anastasia Bertacchi | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.5 | 7.6-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 5.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 54.2% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 69.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anastasia Bertacchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Emma Lene W35 Torino |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Martyna Kubka W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W35 Don Benito |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Nahia Berecoechea W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Lisa Zaar W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Kamila Kashaeva W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/06 | Berta Passola W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Semra Aksu W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofiia Bielinska W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Sandra Samir W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anastasia Bertacchi vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Our model gives 68% to Anastasia Bertacchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.