Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 06/08, 10:00
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Galena Krastenova
Team pages: Vittoria Paganetti · Galena Krastenova
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Galena Krastenova
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
6-4 (W-L)
Galena Krastenova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1518 · Galena Krastenova 1504
| Vittoria Paganetti | Galena Krastenova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 93% | 7% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (9.3/match).
- Note: Galena Krastenova makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Galena Krastenova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.5 | 11.2-10.5 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0 |
| Double faults | 9.3 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 57.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Sofija Milenkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 01/08 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Torino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Greta Rizzetto W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
Galena Krastenova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Klara Vaja W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/08 | Carolina Gasparini W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Valeria Garnevska W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Beatris Spasova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Lea Belanska W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/02 | Julia Terziyska UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/02 | Bianca E Barbulescu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/02 | Sara Gvozdenovic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/02 | Gwendolyn Fedel UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 23/02 | Bianca Nica UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Galena Krastenova?
Our model gives 74% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.