Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 27/07, 10:30

Prediction: Aurora Corvi vs Aleksandra Djokic

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Aurora Corvi Aleksandra Djokic
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora Corvi 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLWWWL
Aleksandra Djokic 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aurora Corvi 1472 · Aleksandra Djokic 1392
Aurora CorviAleksandra Djokic
Our model61%39%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aurora Corvi (rating 1472 vs 1392).
  • Aurora Corvi is in better form: 40% recent wins.
  • Note: Aurora Corvi makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Aurora CorviAleksandra Djokic
Win %40%10%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 10% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.20.3-1.8
Games (G-P)11-115.7-11.4
Aces0.50.5
Double faults43
1st serve %54.4%40%
Break %46.6%62.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aurora Corvi

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Lucie Urbanova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 14-18 L
20/07 Josephine Kunz
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
14/07 Leticia Solakov
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 9-12 L
16/06 Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-17 L
11/06 Marie Mettraux
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-1 5-6 L
09/06 Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
08/06 Teodora Vlajic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 13-9 W
20/05 Daria Yesypchuk
W15 Grado · ~Clay
1-2 12-17 L
07/05 Klara Veldman
W15 Kalmar · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
06/05 Anna-Lena Ebster
W15 Kalmar · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Aleksandra Djokic

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/06 Madelief Hageman
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
01/06 Aleksandra Mateva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/04 Matylda Burylo
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
18/04 Stela Dzimovic
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
17/04 Maria Ustic
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/04 Simona Ogescu
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
15/04 Karine Sarkisova
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
11/04 Denise Hrdinkova
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 0-12 L
20/12 Stela Dzimovic
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
18/12 Andrea Obradovic
UTR Pro Beograd Women · Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aurora Corvi vs Aleksandra Djokic?

Our model gives 69% to Aurora Corvi, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.