Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 27/07, 09:00
Prediction: Mariia Masiianskaia vs Milica Stosovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Masiianskaia
Milica Stosovic
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Masiianskaia
4-6 (W-L)
Milica Stosovic
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mariia Masiianskaia
1–1
Milica Stosovic
(2 last)
- 09 Apr2-0 12-4W
- 02 Jun0-2 2-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Masiianskaia 1440 · Milica Stosovic 1458
| Mariia Masiianskaia | Milica Stosovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mariia Masiianskaia makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Milica Stosovic makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Mariia Masiianskaia | Milica Stosovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.9 | 7.5-10 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 8.1 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Mariia Masiianskaia 1 – 1 Milica Stosovic (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mariia Masiianskaia 1–1 Milica Stosovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/25 UTR Pro Beograd Women | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06/24 ITF W35 Kursumlijska Banja | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Masiianskaia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Galatea Ferro W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Nancy Lee W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Madelief Hageman W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Federica Sacco W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Sara Mikaca W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/05 | Galatea Ferro W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/05 | Viktoria Veleva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Milica Stosovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Josephine Kunz W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Noemi La Cagnina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Giulia Alexandra Musat W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 22/06 | Andzhelina Kostova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 17/06 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Ewa Duda W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/05 | Michaela Bayerlova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Dana Charintceva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Masiianskaia vs Milica Stosovic?
Our model gives 59% to Mariia Masiianskaia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.