Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 24/07, 08:30
Prediction: Gala Ivanovic vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
Prediction summary
Winner
Gala Ivanovic
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gala Ivanovic
4-6 (W-L)
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gala Ivanovic 1485 · Emma Ottavia Ghirardato 1558
| Gala Ivanovic | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Ottavia Ghirardato (rating 1485 vs 1558).
- Emma Ottavia Ghirardato is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Gala Ivanovic makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Gala Ivanovic | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.8 | 12-9 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.9% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gala Ivanovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Ela Nala Milic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 2-6 | L |
| 25/06 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Andzhelina Kostova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Mia Horvit W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Elena Milutinovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Laura Samsonova W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Michaela Bayerlova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Andrea Obradovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/07 | Elena Milutinovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Kiara Cvetkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Ellie Daniels W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amelie Van Impe W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Olga Bienzobas Fernandez W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Maria Trujillo Garnica W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Mariya Yemshanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gala Ivanovic vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato?
Our model gives 55% to Emma Ottavia Ghirardato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.