Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 31/07, 10:00
Prediction: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Team pages: Rebecca Munk Mortensen · Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
5-5 (W-L)
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1550 · Ustiniya Lekomtseva 1466
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebecca Munk Mortensen (rating 1550 vs 1466).
- Rebecca Munk Mortensen is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Rebecca Munk Mortensen makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Ustiniya Lekomtseva makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Rebecca Munk Mortensen | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.8 | 8.1-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 52.8% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 66.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Aurora Corvi W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Hana Djedovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 24/07 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Marie Vogt W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Tamila Gadamauri W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Adrienn Nagy W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Emma Slavikova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Chiara Fornasieri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/07 | Sophie Luescher W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 17/06 | Semra Aksu W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Sofiia Bielinska W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Hana Shabanpour W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 04/06 | Deniz Dilek W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Sandra Samir W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/05 | Sandra Samir W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Our model gives 73% to Rebecca Munk Mortensen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.