Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 03/08, 09:00
Prediction: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Aya El Aouni
Team pages: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals · Aya El Aouni
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Aya El Aouni
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
4-6 (W-L)
Aya El Aouni
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals 1444 · Aya El Aouni 1536
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Aya El Aouni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aya El Aouni (rating 1444 vs 1536).
- Aya El Aouni is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Aya El Aouni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-13 | 10.2-7.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 53.8% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Noemi Maines W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 10/02 | Midori Castillo Meza W15 Manacor |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 13/11 | Cristina Diaz Adrover ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 11/11 | Ginebra Zoe Dominguez Riveros ITF W15 Nules · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Stefaniya Pushkar ITF W15 Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/10 | Neus Torner Sensano ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Aleksandra Pozarenko ITF W35 Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Noelia Bouzo Zanotti ITF W50 Baza |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/09 | Aran Teixido Garcia ITF W15 Ceuta · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Aya El Aouni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Vittoria Paganetti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Darya Velikova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Imogen Haddad W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Saumya Ronde W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Aya El Aouni?
Our model gives 78% to Aya El Aouni, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.