Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 31/07, 10:00
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Aya El Aouni
Team pages: Vittoria Paganetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Aya El Aouni
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
6-4 (W-L)
Aya El Aouni
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1510 · Aya El Aouni 1554
| Vittoria Paganetti | Aya El Aouni | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aya El Aouni (rating 1510 vs 1554).
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (8.8/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Aya El Aouni | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.3 | 10.1-7 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 8.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Torino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Greta Rizzetto W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Paula Ormaechea W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Aya El Aouni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Eugenia Zozaya Menendez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/07 | Darya Velikova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Victoria Gomez O'Hayon W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Imogen Haddad W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/06 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Saumya Ronde W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/12 | Rinko Matsuda W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Aya El Aouni?
Our model gives 55% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.