Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 01/08, 09:30
Prediction: Vittoria Paganetti vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Team pages: Vittoria Paganetti · Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Prediction summary
Winner
Vittoria Paganetti
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Vittoria Paganetti
6-4 (W-L)
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vittoria Paganetti 1517 · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1554
| Vittoria Paganetti | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Vittoria Paganetti makes many double faults (8.6/match).
- Note: Rebecca Munk Mortensen makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Vittoria Paganetti | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.4 | 10.6-9.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 8.6 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 55.9% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vittoria Paganetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/07 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Lavinia Tanasie W75 Cordenons |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Torino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Greta Rizzetto W35 Torino |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Lia Karatancheva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Alja Senica W35 Tarvisio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Gabriela Ce W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Paula Ormaechea W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Aurora Corvi W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Hana Djedovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 24/07 | Lucia Cortez Llorca W35 Gentofte |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Marie Vogt W35 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/07 | Tahlia Kokkinis W35 Gentofte |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Tamila Gadamauri W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Adrienn Nagy W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Emma Slavikova W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vittoria Paganetti vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen?
Our model gives 56% to Vittoria Paganetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.