Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 03/08, 09:00
Prediction: Galena Krastenova vs Carolina Gasparini
Team pages: Carolina Gasparini
Prediction summary
Winner
Galena Krastenova
Carolina Gasparini
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Galena Krastenova
2-8 (W-L)
Carolina Gasparini
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Galena Krastenova 1450 · Carolina Gasparini 1444
| Galena Krastenova | Carolina Gasparini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Galena Krastenova makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Galena Krastenova | Carolina Gasparini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.8 | 6.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.6% | 54.9% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Galena Krastenova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Valeria Garnevska W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Beatris Spasova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Lea Belanska W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/02 | Julia Terziyska UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/02 | Bianca E Barbulescu UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/02 | Sara Gvozdenovic UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/02 | Gwendolyn Fedel UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 23/02 | Bianca Nica UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Alexandra Irina Anghel ITF W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Rada Zolotareva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Carolina Gasparini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/12 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 23/12 | Selya Rakki W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/12 | Victoria Pohle W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/11 | Fiona Ganz ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Denise Valente ITF W15 Solarino |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Angelica Sara ITF W15 Solarino |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Anne Schaefer ITF W15 Viserba · Clay |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 07/09 | Manuela De Lorenzo ITF W15 Viserba · Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Galena Krastenova vs Carolina Gasparini?
Our model gives 53% to Carolina Gasparini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.